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The Scarlet Standard

Akron Gives UNLV’s Offense a Chance to Show What the Bye Changed

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UNLV football game photo
Photo by Lucas Peltier / 11.3.1

LAS VEGAS — Dan Mullen did not spend UNLV’s bye week looking for a different offense. He spent it deciding which parts of this one should remain. Three games gave Mullen and offensive coordinator Corey Dennis enough evidence to evaluate what the Rebels had executed well, what had repeatedly broken down and whether some of those problems began with what players were being asked to do.

“What have we done well? What have we done poorly?” Mullen said. “Who needs to play?” His next question was more pointed. “If we’re asking guys to do stuff they don’t do well, why are we forcing an issue?”

UNLV enters Saturday averaging 16 points and 375 yards through three games, but those averages combine three offenses that barely resembled one another. Jackson Arnold threw for 291 yards and two touchdowns against Memphis while being sacked six times. At Hawai‘i, Jai’Den Thomas rushed for 143 yards as UNLV produced 248 on the ground and asked Arnold to throw only 18 times. North Texas then held the Rebels to 98 rushing yards, sacked Arnold four times and kept UNLV out of the end zone in a 44-6 loss.

There has been enough production to identify useful pieces without finding one the offense can consistently return to after an opponent takes something away. Mullen acknowledged that Monday. “I don’t know if anything’s gone well really,” he said. “We just got to find a little identity and get better.” The bye gave UNLV its first extended opportunity to decide what that identity should actually include.

Arnold remains at the center of that decision. He has started all three games and completed 51 of 82 passes for 601 yards, two touchdowns and no interceptions while accounting for 733 yards of total offense. Alex Orji has completed one of five passes for nine yards and rushed four times for 36. The weekly “OR” between the quarterbacks on UNLV’s depth chart has not reflected a true competition for the majority of the snaps. Arnold is the starter. The bye-week question is whether the offense around him now reflects more clearly what he actually trusts.

_LKP9549Photo by Lucas Peltier / 11.3.1

Mullen has been direct about that process. “I might like a play, but if he’s not comfortable running it, it really doesn’t matter what I like,” Mullen said. “I’m standing on the sidelines. No one’s coming to hit me and I don’t have to throw a ball.” He then described the conversation that follows when Arnold passes on a throw the coaches expected him to make. “Not comfortable with the play? Not comfortable with that read? Okay, let’s find the things you are comfortable with, and we’ll do more of that.”

UNLV’s situational numbers help explain why that evaluation extends beyond completion percentage. The Rebels’ offensive success rate is 36.3 percent through three games, according to Punt & Rally, and their success rate on passing downs falls to 18 percent. When the first two downs fail, the protection has to hold longer, Arnold has to work farther into the progression and the defense has fewer reasons to respect the run. Cleaner early-down offense would remove some of the situations in which UNLV’s other problems become most difficult to hide.

Orji remains part of the answer without needing to become the answer at quarterback. Mullen said he wants him involved more after three games in which his opportunities have been sporadic. “Alex does some really good things,” Mullen said. “Little packages. We gotta get into a better flow offensively.” Orji has four carries for 36 yards, including 32 yards on two attempts at North Texas. The open week gave the staff time to determine where those packages fit rather than inserting them simply because Orji provides a different skill set.

The final possession of the first half at North Texas showed why changing personnel alone would not solve UNLV’s problems. The Rebels drove 74 yards in 15 plays and reached fourth-and-1 at the North Texas 1 before being stopped. Mullen later said three players ran the wrong play in a situation UNLV had practiced. Whether Orji could have helped in short yardage became secondary to the fact that the offense did not execute the same call.

That breakdown was part of a larger afternoon of mistakes. UNLV lost three fumbles and threw an interception, finishing minus-four in turnover margin after playing its first two games without a turnover. The season totals now show three lost fumbles through three games. Mullen also pointed to missed assignments in the running game and divided responsibility for the protection problems between the offensive line, backs and quarterback rather than treating every sack as evidence that one position group had failed.

“Quarterback’s got to get rid of the ball quicker sometimes, and we got to protect better,” Mullen said after North Texas. UNLV has allowed 11 sacks: six against Memphis, one at Hawai‘i and four at North Texas. One North Texas sack followed a missed block by a running back, while another came after Arnold held the football. If the bye helped narrow the offense toward reads Arnold processes more comfortably, some of the improvement should occur before the protection is asked to survive an extended play.

UNLV also used the open week for additional individual work up front. Austin Boyd, the Rebels’ opening-day starter at center, has not played since being injured against Memphis and is not listed on the Akron two-deep. Griffin Scroggs and BJ Tolo are listed at center for Saturday. The offense has already used enough combinations to know that changing one name will not solve everything. The group still has to communicate the protection, handle movement and allow Arnold to play on time.

The same need for cleaner execution has followed UNLV into the red zone. The Rebels have reached the opponent’s 20-yard line nine times and scored on five possessions, including four touchdowns. They went 2-for-4 against Memphis, 2-for-2 at Hawai‘i and 1-for-3 without a touchdown at North Texas. Mullen pointed to red-zone execution immediately after Memphis, when UNLV failed on two fourth downs and missed a field goal in a six-point loss. North Texas added the fourth-and-1 failure before halftime, a second-half possession damaged by a sack and intentional grounding and another scoring chance lost on a fumble.

UNLV has already shown that it can move the football between the 20s. The issue is how much of that work survives once the field shrinks. The same problems become harder to cover near the goal line: a missed assignment creates an unblocked defender, a late read has less space to recover and a negative play can immediately turn a touchdown opportunity into a field-goal attempt. The Rebels simply need to stop wasting possessions that have already done enough work to reach scoring territory.

Akron provides room to test those corrections. The Zips have recorded only two sacks through three games and have allowed damage after the catch and once runners clear the first level. The matchup will still require UNLV to execute the beginning of those plays before it can reach those vulnerabilities. Arnold has to make the read, the protection has to survive and Thomas has to reach the crease before anything Akron has struggled with farther downfield becomes relevant.

That makes the bye-week work less about unveiling something Akron has never seen than making the existing offense function with fewer contradictions. Arnold has already shown he can throw for 291 yards. Thomas has already shown he can rush for 143. UNLV played two games without giving the ball away before turning it over four times at North Texas. The useful pieces exist. The problem has been keeping enough of them available in the same game.

Mullen reduced the standard to something simpler after North Texas.

“We can control our performance and are we getting better from one week to the next,” he said. “I think that’s what’s critical.”

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